The Miami Dolphins haven’t lost since Oct. 31, and they will put that streak on the line in primetime on Monday Night Football. Miami is on a six-game winning streak, improving to 7-7 on the season. The Dolphins will now face a team with an identical 7-7 record, with the New Orleans Saints welcoming Miami to the Caesars Superdome. New Orleans is just 2-4 at home this season, but the Saints pulled off an upset victory over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers a week ago.
Kickoff is at 8:15 p.m. ET in New Orleans. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Dolphins as three-point home favorites, while the Over-Under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 37.5 in the latest Dolphins vs. Saints odds. Before you make any Saints vs. Dolphins picks and NFL predictions, be sure to check out what SportsLine’s advanced computer model has to say.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. The model enters Week 16 of the 2021 season on an incredible 133-96 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has set its sights on Dolphins vs. Saints, and just locked in its Monday Night Football picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Now, here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Dolphins vs. Saints:
- Dolphins vs. Saints spread: Dolphins -3
- Dolphins vs. Saints over-under: 37.5 points
- Dolphins vs. Saints money line: Saints +145, Dolphins -170
- MIA: Dolphins are 7-7 against the spread in 2021
- NO: Saints are 7-6-1 against the spread this season
Featured Game | New Orleans Saints vs. Miami Dolphins
Why the Dolphins can cover
Rookie linebacker Jaelan Phillips has been a dynamic playmaker during the winning streak. Over the past six games, he has seven sacks, the fifth-most in the league since Week 9. He has helped Miami register 25 sacks since Week 9, which leads the NFL over that time.
In addition, the Dolphins could get back receiver Jaylen Waddle on Monday. Waddle, who missed last week’s win over the Jets while on the reserve/COVID-19 list, leads the team in receptions (86), receiving yards (849) and is tied for the team lead in receiving touchdowns (four). He is on pace for 105 receptions this season.
Why the Saints can cover
New Orleans is suffocating on defense, and that was evident last week. The Saints shut out the high-powered Tampa Bay Buccaneers, blanking Tom Brady in front of a national television audience. That wasn’t a fluke, either, as the Saints are allowing only 20.4 points per game, an elite figure. New Orleans is above average in total defense (336.9 yards allowed per game) and pass defense (240.2 yards allowed per game), and the Saints are in the top five in interceptions (15), touchdown passes allowed (18) and passer rating allowed (82.5).
New Orleans is even better against the run, allowing only 96.6 yards per game, and opponents are averaging only 3.8 yards per carry against New Orleans. The Saints are allowing opponents to convert only 37.3 percent of third down chances, ranking in the top 10 of the NFL, and New Orleans is a top-five team in fourth down defense at 38.9 percent.
How to make Dolphins vs. Saints picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, projecting 35 points scored. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the model’s Saints vs. Dolphins pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Saints vs. Dolphins on Monday Night Football? And which side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Saints vs. Dolphins spread you need to jump on, all from the model that’s 133-96 on NFL picks, and find out.
