The fit in between head coach Kevin Stefanskis play-calling design and Baker Mayfields profile has a great deal of benefit (I composed about it when training school were just getting underway). Play-action production assists drive Mayfields projection to link for 25 or more touchdowns in 60 percent of simulations. While my model is high on Nick Chubb and his impact on selling play-action, he surpasses 1,225 rushing yards in simply 42.5 percent of simulations. Dont get me wrong, my forecast for him falls in between 1,150 and 1,120 lawns, but keep in mind that Kareem Hunt is also in the mix and simply five backs hurried for more than 1,220 yards last season (and just three backs reached that mark in each of the previous 2 seasons). Chubbs 1,494 rush backyards last season also show a different system and play-callers. As you can see, the race for the last wild-card spot in the AFC tasks to be very tight, but my design likes the Patriots chances just a bit more than that of the Browns, who have a higher ceiling however a lower floor.
Oh, and one last thing: Myles Garrett earns eight or more sacks in 59.6 percent of simulations.
Ceiling: 9.5
Floor: 6.7
