Gamer props
Joe Burrow
O/U 20.5 completionsO/U 33.5 efforts O/U 236.5 passing yardsO/U 1.5 passing TDs (Under -190) O/U 25.5 hurrying backyards
I like going over on the passing yards here against this Cleveland secondary that gave up 275 passing yards on simply 25 efforts by Lamar Jackson last week. I also like the Over on Burrows rush backyards after he had that great 23-yard TD last week plus another 23 lawns on seven more brings.
Baker Mayfield
Play moneyline at Bengals +220? I would. You d need to forecast that the Bengals have a better than 31.25% chance of winning this matchup for there to be value on the moneyline, and I believe thats underselling them substantially after what we saw from these teams in Week 1.
Over/Under 43.5 points
This has done nothing but drop given that it opened at 46 back in May. The reopened line on Sunday night put the video game at 45 and the market continue to push it down, with the overall striking 43.5 by Wednesday morning.
The last five meetings between these two groups all featured plenty of scoring, and we saw in Week 1 that the lack of a preseason didnt impact offenses on the whole, with 9 of the 16 opening week video games going over their total. Even though these 2 groups struggled to score lots of points in Week 1, they were both playing much better defenses than what theyll see here.
Austin Hooper Under 37.5 getting lawns
With David Njoku on the IR, it only makes good sense for Hooper to get more work as a receiver after capturing simply 2 passes for 15 backyards in the opener, right? Well, I think he plays a more crucial function as a blocker with three tackles noted as questionable for the Browns in this game. I wouldnt anticipate a large uptick in targets for the tight end, though if Jarvis Landry is ruled out, that makes this a less enticing prop.
O/U 20.5 completionsO/U 30.5 attemptsO/U 240.5 passing yardsO/U 1.5 passing TDs (Under -120) O/U 6.5 rushing yards
This line initially opened back in May at Browns -8, and by the time Sunday started the Browns were still big favorites at -7.5. After their ugly performance integrated with the Bengals remaining in their opener up until completion, William Hill resumed this match at Browns -6.5 on Sunday night, which was rapidly bet down to Browns -6. It moved once again to Browns -5.5 on Monday afternoon however was back at six by Wednesday.
The last 5 meetings in between these 2 groups all included plenty of scoring, and we saw in Week 1 that the lack of a preseason didnt impact offenses on the whole, with nine of the 16 opening week games going over their overall. I like going over on the passing yards here against this Cleveland secondary that offered up 275 passing lawns on simply 25 attempts by Lamar Jackson last week. I also love the Over on Burrows rush yards after he had that fantastic 23-yard TD last week plus another 23 backyards on seven more brings. They had a difficult match on this front in Week 1 however were able to hold Austin Ekeler to simply 3 receiving lawns on one target. Hunt himself only delivered nine yards on 6 targets in Week 1, and I expect Cincinnati to likewise focus on stopping the Browns running backs above all else in this match.
For another view on this game, examine out the play from the SportsLine Projection Model, which is up over $7,400 on its top-rated picks.
How to see
Date: Thursday, September 17|Time: 8:20 p.m. ETLocation: FirstEnergy Stadium (Cleveland, Ohio) TELEVISION: NFL Network|Stream: fuboTV ( shot for free) Follow: CBS Sports App
Bengals at Browns (-6 )
The Bengals enter this video game as losers of 13 directly on the road, however the market has underrated them in those matchups, as Cincinnati has published a 8-5 ATS mark during that stretch. If you just think about road video games where theyre canines of at least 4 points, that mark jumps to 8-3 ATS.
Injuries could play a huge consider this video game as well. The Bengals have ruled out two protective takes on, consisting of star Geno Atkins, in addition to guard Xavier Sua- Filo and safety Shawn Williams. The Browns get in the match with far more concerns to deal with, as their leading 3 tackles and beginning center are all doubtful, as is receiver Jarvis Landry and edge rusher Olivier Vernon. Corner Greedy Williams is among four other gamers eliminated.
I expect hell have more success against a run-down Browns defense playing on a short week, particularly with Cincinnatis skilled stable of receivers up versus this Cleveland secondary. Its on D.J. Reader to set the tone in the trenches to help slow down the Cleveland rushing attack, but if he can do that, the Bengals ought to take care of company.
Kevin Stefanski was required to throw most likely more than he wanted to last week after the Browns got down early, and even with that being the case, Kareem Hunt and Nick Chubb ran the ball 23 times. Even though Mayfield threw the ball 39 times last week, he finished with just 189 passing lawns.
More props to consider
Tyler Boyd Over 4.5 receptions (+130 ), Over 49.5 receiving yards, TD props
A.J. Green was the Bengals top receiver in Week 1, and he needs to see a lot of Denzel Ward in this match. You can get Boyd scoring the very first TD of the game at +1600, Boyd to score at least 2 TDs at +1800, and Boyd to score at least 3 TDs at +8000.
Kareem Hunt Under 23.5 receiving yards (+105 )
Hunt was able to top this total in each of his 2 conferences with the Bengals last year, but the Bengals made some key defensive upgrades this offseason. They had a difficult matchup on this front in Week 1 however were able to hold Austin Ekeler to just 3 getting lawns on one target. Hunt himself just provided nine yards on 6 targets in Week 1, and I anticipate Cincinnati to likewise concentrate on stopping the Browns running backs above all else in this matchup.
One week of NFL is in the books, and besides the absence of fans in nearly every stadium due to the coronavirus pandemic, it was basically professional football as weve pertained to like and understand, with lots of scoring, a couple of shocking upsets and whatever else you get in Week 1. That includes a disappointing showing from a Browns group that has actually developed some buzz under a brand-new program, in addition to a highly-touted No. 1 overall pick at quarterback losing his first game.
First, lets discuss Joe Burrow. While it wasnt reviewed the scoreboard, the novice out of LSU looked like he belonged in his launching, leading his group down the field late and seemingly throwing a consent touchdown that was nullified by a doubtful flag before watching the Bengals kicker stop working to send out the game into overtime. The loss is what weve pertained to anticipate for quarterbacks taken No. 1 in general, as quarterbacks in that sample are 0-12-1 directly in their last 13 launchings (1-11-1 ATS), per CBS Sports research.
It was likewise more of the same for the Browns, who entered Week 1 with lots of optimism under a new coaching staff for a 2nd straight year only to get housed by 30-plus points for a second straight year in their opener. Last year, they rebounded by walloping the Jets, and theyll seek to find that success in Week 2 on Thursday Night Football.
Were going to get you ready for the matchup on the betting side of things in this area, including what you need to understand about each aspect of the video game from a wagering point of view. All odds by means of William Hill Sportsbook.
