Well, I expect the winning couldnt last forever. After a two-week stretch where I went 5-0-1 in this column, I went 1-2 last week, though you can believe me when I inform you I am not accepting the blame for it.
What I will not take is the Jaguars loss.– it should be kept in mind that Steven Hauschka, that beast, missed out on two field goals. I was robbed of 6 points right here, but as embarrassed as Hauschka ought to be for letting me down, things got even worse.
The Jaguars, dealing with a fourth-and-one in Texan territory, made the proper choice to go for it. The problem is they chose to get charming and try something foolish rather of just sticking to one of the 100 other plays they run frequently, all of which are created to get at least one lawn.
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1. Bears at Panthers: Over 44 (-110 )
It might come as a surprise considering theyve been without Christian McCaffery, however the Panthers offense still ranks 9th in the NFL in offensive DVOA. On the protective side of the ball, the Bears rank 5th total in protective DVOA but arent fantastic versus the run. I do not think were in for an offensive surge here, however both these teams are capable of going over this total.
2. Bengals at Colts: Bengals +8 (-110 )
Ive constantly been a bigger fan of banking on a Philip Rivers team as an underdog than as a favorite. Its not that hes awful overall when preferred, however he isnt good, either. His teams have actually gone 41-52-2 ATS considering that 2010 when preferred, and its not tough to figure out why. Rivers turns the ball over a lot. When youre turning the ball over, its tough to cover spreads. This spread is too large. The Bengals got squashed by the Ravens last week, but crushing bad teams is what the Ravens do very well. I believe that game is having too much of an influence on this line. The Colts defense is great, however its not unequalled, as we saw last week versus the Browns. Cincinnati isnt going to win this game, but it will do enough, and Rivers will toss an interception or 2 to assist them stay within range. Colts 27, Bengals 20
Lets state the Jaguars select up that initially down. Maybe they get a touchdown, or perhaps they need to go for a field objective, and Steven Hauschka actually makes it. If the Jaguars punch it in, and Hauschka makes the extra point– not a certainty!– that is 13 additional points left on the field. That makes the last score Texans 30, Jaguars 27. Thats a cover. I attempted to describe this to my book, but they werent having it.
Still, I think the entire Jacksonville Jaguars company, from owner Shad Khan to Jaxson de Ville, owe me a handwritten apology. While I wait for it, you can read my choices for this weekend.
3. Packers at Buccaneers: Packers -1.5 (-110 )
What do you do when 2 of the biggest QBs of all-time versus the spread are going head-to-head? In my viewpoint, you go with the one who is playing much better at the time, and thats absolutely Aaron Rodgers. I dont know if the Packers prepared Jordan Love with the sole purpose of making Aaron upset and getting him to play like this, but whatever the case, its been an exceptional outcome for the Packers.
After a two-week stretch where I went 5-0-1 in this column, I went 1-2 last week, though you can believe me when I inform you I am not accepting the blame for it. I do not think were in for an offending explosion here, however both these teams are capable of going over this overall. His teams have actually gone 41-52-2 ATS because 2010 when preferred, and its not hard to figure out why. Cincinnati isnt going to win this game, however it will do enough, and Rivers will toss an interception or 2 to help them remain within variety. In my opinion, you go with the one who is playing better at the time, and thats certainly Aaron Rodgers.
Season
9-5-1
+3.5 units
Record
Units
Recently
1-2
-1.2 units
