Dodgers vs. Braves: Four reasons why Los Angeles is on the brink of elimination in NLCS – CBS Sports

Intensifying those sufferings is that the Dodgers have actually been a routine season juggernaut in three of the last 4 years, including this one. In 2017, the Dodgers won 104 games however fell to the Astros in 7 video games in the World Series.
The Dodgers this season authored the very best regular season record in baseball and, scaled to a 162-game season, dipped into a 116-win pace. Still and yet, L.A. discovers itself on the brink of removal versus the Braves in the NLCS..
The Braves thumped the Dodgers in Game 4 on Thursday and now lead the series by a count of 3-1. In the past, groups down 3-1 in a best-of-seven series have come back to win that series just 14.9 percent of the time. Simply put, the magnificent Dodgers are very likely bound headlong for another October failure.
In this particular circumstances, its worth checking out how they got in this unenviable position– i.e., requiring to win three video games before the Braves win one. Its not one single thing, as you would expect. Heres a glimpse at how the Dodgers have actually once again discovered themselves on the October verge..

1. One of MLBs best pitching staffs has actually been anything however.
During the routine season, the Dodgers pitching corps was amongst the very best in baseball. They led the majors in ERA and ERA+ and ranked second in runs allowed per video game and K/BB ratio. In the NLCS, nevertheless, they havent measured up to innovative billing on the pitching front. Going into Game 5, the Braves for the series are batting.275/.362/.514, and in related matters, the Dodgers for the series have an ERA of 6.17. Simplifying, the L.A. rotation in the NLCS has an ERA of 5.12, and the bullpen has an ERA of 6.98. Yes, the Braves have a strong offense, however the Dodgers pitching personnel was perhaps stronger during the routine season. So far, the Braves offense is dominating to unforeseen extremes.
2. The Dodgers run scoring has actually been too clustered.
Thats a function of the Dodgers routine massacre of Atlanta in Game 3, which they won 15-3. Look at the Dodgers overall slash line for the series of.236/.341/.479, and it recommends quality.

Atlanta manager Brian Snitker after getting buried early was able to churn through low-leverage innings in Game 3, with Huascar Ynoa doing many of the lifting. Had Roberts pulled Urias after the needed first three batters, then he d be offered for Game 5.

That outburst in the center includes their near-comeback in Game 2 which Game 3 in which they put 14 operate on the board in the very first 3 innings. Beyond that isolated thunderstorm, the Dodger bats have been pretty well tamed..

Betts in his very first season with L.A. batted.292/.366/.562 with 16 homers in 55 games. The catcher Smith, meantime, in 37 games put up a line of.289/.401/.579, which by positional requirements may be explained as “particularly special.”.
In the NLCS, however, Betts has an OPS of simply.437, and Smith checks in with an even worse mark of.313. Smith had actually been coming off a strong NLDS versus the Padres, and Betts produced at a normally high level through the first 2 rounds. Versus Atlanta, however, these two core bats have not been of much aid..

4. Dave Roberts slow hook in Game 4.
Considered that the Dodgers lost Game 4 by 8 runs, this might seem to be quibbling to no end. However, determining how a video game wouldve unfolded had an important point gone the other way is an egg thats impossible to unscramble. What we do know is that in the 6th inning of Game 4, Dodgers starter Clayton Kershaw– he of the complicated playoff history– allowed back to back hits to start the frame. The second of those hits, a Freddie Freeman double, gave the Braves a 2-1 lead..
That brought Marcell Ozuna to the plate. Ozuna was one of the games best players throughout the regular season, and he d already homered earlier in Game 4. He had the army advantage versus Kershaw, and he was facing him for the 3rd time in the game. Considered that Kershaw had actually just offered up 2 hits and the consent run, this appeared an obvious time to summon a right-hander from the bullpen. Roberts, however, stuck to his starter. Heres what took place:.

From there, the video game deciphered in the Braves favor. Had Roberts made the somewhat obvious decision to lift Kershaw and injected into the game different matchups and pitch series and counts and all the rest, things may have unfolded differently. Theres no knowing that, however regardless of the eventual margin of success its reasonable to consider that decision as a pivot point..

In 2017, the Dodgers won 104 games however fell to the Astros in seven video games in the World Series. The Braves thumped the Dodgers in Game 4 on Thursday and now lead the series by a count of 3-1. Going into Game 5, the Braves for the series are batting.275/.362/.514, and in related matters, the Dodgers for the series have an ERA of 6.17. Thats a function of the Dodgers routine slaughter of Atlanta in Game 3, which they won 15-3. Ozuna was one of the games best players during the routine season, and he d currently homered earlier in Game 4.

Basic enough? All the Dodgers require to do to defy their current deficit and the history that features it is to improve pitching, more consistent striking, better tactical choices from the dugout, and much better luck. Yes, its going to take a lot for the Dodgers to turn the postseason script theyve read from for far too long..