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No need for any funny business here. Lawrence will be the No. 1 pick.
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This has seemed set in stone for a while now. There’s obviously a chance New York goes in a different direction, but it will be a quarterback.
There was a ton of early speculation about Mac Jones and there has been a recent surge for Justin Fields coming off the board in this spot, but the 49ers generally do not leak. I’m thinking they go in another direction, with a player whose skill set is a perfect fit for Kyle Shanahan’s offense. The fact that the Niners essentially scripted his Monday pro day factors in as well.
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With Fields still sitting on the board at No. 4 overall, the Broncos make the Falcons an offer they can’t refuse (No. 9, 40, 144, and next year’s second-round pick) to move up for their new quarterback.
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Joe Burrow won’t need to worry about who his receivers are if he can’t stay upright in the pocket. The situation in front of him was a disaster last season, and it resulted in Burrow suffering a season-ending injury. The Bengals can’t let that happen again, which is why Sewell makes the most sense here. With the depth of this receiver class, they can still grab a top-end pass-catcher early in Round 2, just like they did last year.
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Miami moves down three spots and lands arguably the best overall player in the draft. Brian Flores knows how unstoppable an offense can be with an athletic tight end who cannot be covered over the middle or in the red zone from his New England days, and he lands his version of that right here.
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Detroit loaded up on speed receivers in free agency, and here gets a No. 1 guy who is more physical and able to succeed in the short and intermediate areas of the field, providing a solid baseline for Jared Goff, and eventually, whichever quarterback the Lions tab as their long-term starter.
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The Panthers spent their entire draft on defense last season, but still need quite a bit of help on that side of the ball. Landing one of the top cornerbacks in this class raises the floor and ceiling of their talent on the back end of the defense.
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Atlanta picks up two extra selections in this year’s draft and one next year, and still lands one of the top offensive line prospects in this class. Slater has the versatility to play anywhere on the line, making him a good fit in the short and long term. The Falcons can still add more pieces on offense and defense later in the draft, where they are now stacked with multiple picks.
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With the top offensive prospects that the Cowboys might be interested in off the board but a quarterback still there, Trader Jerry moves down from No. 10 to 15 and picks up No. 46 for his troubles. The Pats, meanwhile, sacrifice only a second-round pick to get their QB of the future.
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The Giants are all in on making Daniel Jones work. Adding Waddle as a complement to Kenny Golladay on the outside makes a ton of sense in that regard, giving the Giants a lot to work with in the deep passing game and opening things up for the likes of Sterling Shepard and Saquon Barkley underneath. Plus, Waddle is electric with the ball in his hands and can turn short throws into huge gains on his own.
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Philly moves down from No. 6 to No. 12 and still lands perhaps the same player. Not bad for a trade’s work.
The Chargers have already had quite the offseason upgrading their offensive line, and continue to do so here. Vera-Tucker has played guard and tackle and can fit at either spot, allowing the team to mix and match with him and free agent signing Matt Feiler to find the best way this all fits together up front.
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Rick Spielman and Mike Zimmer could of course take yet another cornerback here, but with the way the Vikings’ pass rush has been depleted the past few years, they really need help on the edge. Phillips has some concerns with his medical history, but he is the most polished and versatile pass-rusher in this class and would help them both immediately and over the long haul.
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Dallas moves down five spots, picks up an extra selection, and still gets one of the top corners in the class. Horn is a physical cornerback with long arms and great athleticism, making him a good fit across from Trevon Diggs in new defensive coordinator Dan Quinn’s defense.
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Protecting Kyler Murray has to be priority No. 1 for the Cardinals. Darrisaw is a monster-sized athletic marvel who can help them do just that.
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2018 third-round pick Brandon Parker has not developed into a starter and, after trading Trent Brown, the Raiders have a need on the right side of the line. That makes Jenkins a strong fit in the middle of the first.
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The Dolphins built an excellent defense last season, but still need help in the pass-rush department if they are going to maintain that level. Ojulari helps in that regard.
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Ron Rivera’s Carolina defenses were at their best when they had Luke Kuechly making plays all over the field. He tries to recreate that in Washington by nabbing Parsons here.
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It sure seems like the futures of Ryan Pace and Matt Nagy are riding on their success or failure this year, which means they really need this offense to take a step forward. Enter Bateman, who can complement Allen Robinson with his speed and ability to make big plays.
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A big run on tackles in the first round continues as the Colts land Leatherwood to replace the departed Anthony Castonzo on the left side of the line.
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Tennessee needs pass rush more than almost any team in the league needs anything at the moment. Paye is an elite athlete with enormous potential coming off the edge.
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You know Robert Saleh wants to start building up one of the league’s worst defense. He’s done great work with defensive backs in the past, and gets a good one to work with in Newsome, who isn’t far off from the two corners that went a bit earlier in the first round.
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There’s been a lot of turnover on Pittsburgh’s offensive line this year. I don’t buy the chatter about a first-round running back. That’s not been Kevin Colbert’s style in the past.
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Moehrig makes a ton of sense for a team that still needs a lot of help on the back end of the defense. Wide receiver and tackle are possibilities, but those positions have been pretty well picked over and still have plenty of depth available for Rounds 2 and 3. Instead, the Jags land the top safety on the board.
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This just makes way too much sense after the Browns cut Sheldon Richardson. It’s not considered that good of an interior defensive line class, so Cleveland gets the top guy available in the mid-20s.
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Attach Rousseau to Calais Campbell’s hip and make him learn everything his fellow former Miami Hurricane knows.
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Owusu-Koramoah fills a couple roles for the Saints, given that he’s equally capable of playing safety or linebacker. With Demario Davis and Malcolm Jenkins heading into their mid-30s, it’s good to have some youth at those positions to bring the defense into the future.
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Farley was considered a possible top-10 pick before news of his pre-draft back surgery. The value is too good for the Packers to pass up late in the first round.
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Collins is enormous and a freak athlete. He can play linebacker and/or come off the edge, making him a very useful, versatile piece for Sean McDermott’s defense.
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Very quietly, wide receiver has become a need for the Chiefs. And if there’s any team in the league that knows how to use pint-sized playmakers with tremendous speed, it’s these guys.
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The Bucs had success with the son of a former NFL defensive back last year. Why not try for another?