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With lots of 1.5-mile information to pull from, well have a better-than-normal grasp of the field despite an absence of practice times. The starting lineup is set, so lets dive into the leading DFS plays of the slate.
NASCAR is back at a 1.5-mile circuit for Sundays Quake State 400 (2:30 p.m. ET, FS1) at Kentucky Speedway. Kentucky is a smooth race course that does not produce much tire wear, comparable to both Las Vegas Motor Speedway and Charlotte Motor Speedway, which have actually hosted three combined races this season.
NASCAR at Kentucky DraftKings Dominator DFS Picks
Chase Elliott ($ 10,500): Elliott has actually been the most consistent motorist at the 1.5-mile quad- and tri-oval tracks this year. His typical green flag speed rank is tops among all drivers. His worst ranking of fifth came at the high tire wear track of Atlanta, so we can mark down that a person.
Martin Truex Jr. will likewise be a popular pick at a modest $9200 price. He has 2 wins since the repave, which will also raise his ownership. I like being underweight on Truex. He has actually struggled a bit in 2020, and while he was tops in average green flag speed at the very first Charlotte race and Atlanta, those two races have some caveats.
Chase begins in eighth, so theres some location differential potential here too, even if he does not quite control.
Image by Gregory Fisher/Icon Sportswire through Getty Images. Pictured: NASCAR Cup Series driver Kyle Busch of the # 18 Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota Camry
Rather, here are some other motorists to look at regarding dominator points.
Ryan Blaney ($ 9800): Like his good friend Elliott, Blaney has also excelled at the 1.5- to 2-mile tri- and quad-ovals. He ranks second in typical green flag speed at these tracks, and had prospective top-two surfaces or perhaps wins eliminated at Las Vegas and Auto Club Speedway due to bad luck.
Next to the four mentioned above, here are 6 more motorists who have boss capacity in decreasing order of preference: Kevin Harvick, Joey Logano, Brad Keselowski, Alex Bowman, Denny Hamlin and Kurt Busch.
Blaney begins 11th, so he will have a nice DFS day if he completes in the leading five. He has actually completed top five in three of the 4 1.5-mile races, and might have won the other race he didnt finish in the leading five.
Kyle Busch begins on the pole for todays race and has an impressive record at Kentucky. Hes struggled in 2020, with his finest finishes coming at high tire wear tracks. Kentucky, having been repaved in 2016, is not as abrasive on tires as Atlanta, Auto Club, or Darlington.
The very first Charlotte race was a night race and Atlanta is a high tire wear track. Truexs two Kentucky wins were likewise at night. This is now a day race, so it could harm him. His day/night divides at 1.5-mile tracks are statistically substantial.
While I do believe he can lead the early laps by merely beginning front, I do not expect him to be the finest cars and truck on the track. I d look to be underweight on Busch, but still playable in a multi-entry portfolio.
NASCAR at Kentucky DraftKings Value DFS Picks
Photo by Jared C. Tilton/Getty Images. Envisioned: Jimmie Johnson, motorist of the # 48 Ally Patriotic Chevrolet, leads a pack of automobiles.
In the other 3 1.5-mile races, his typical green flag speed is tops among all motorists. He hasnt had the finishes to show for it, which might likewise depress his ownership, however speed will eventually equate to results.
His worst finish is 11th and his average green flag speed rank is seventh, which enhances to 5th with Atlanta got rid of. He has top-five surfaces at Las Vegas and Charlotte. Another leading 5 would be a massive point haul from his 20th-place starting position.
Jimmie Johnson ($ 8800): Johnson will be even lower owned than Byron because hes more costly and begins one area ahead. Hes been just as outstanding as Byron at the non-Homestead 1.5-mile tracks.
His worst surface on the year at these tracks is 15th. With a 19th-place beginning position, Dillons ownership wont be through the roofing system.
William Byron ($ 8600): Byron might be the very best play on the slate, but could have somewhat dampened ownership with both Erik Jones ($ 8400) and Tyler Reddick ($ 8200) more affordable choices also beginning within 5 areas of him. Byron had issues at Atlanta, however because its the greatest tire wear track of the 4 races were thinking about, we can mark down that.
Austin Dillon ($ 6500): Dillon is priced as the 24th-highest driver this weekend by DraftKings. His average green flag speed at the 4 1.5-mile non-Homestead races is 12th. If we remove Atlanta, that improves to 11th, with no single race outside the top 14.
More for NASCAR at Kentucky
The very first Charlotte race was a night race and Atlanta is a high tire wear track. His average green flag speed at the four 1.5-mile non-Homestead races is 12th. If we eliminate Atlanta, that improves to 11th, with no single race outside the top 14.
Kyle Busch begins on the pole for todays race and has an outstanding record at Kentucky. He has had a hard time a bit in 2020, and while he was tops in typical green flag speed at the first Charlotte race and Atlanta, those 2 races have some caveats.