Dolphins at Jaguars (-3 ).
Ryan Tannehill shredded the Jaguars pass defense last week but handled just 239 backyards because he had just 24 passing attempts while Derrick Henry ran the ball 25 times. Its worth noting that even though the Jaguars pulled off a huge upset of the Colts in Week 1 and Minshew tossed simply one incompletion, he only had 173 passing backyards. I d say the most intelligent play here is to take the Under on attempts and anticipate the Jaguars to run the ball more in a game they go into as the favorites; after all, Josh Allen racked up 417 passing lawns last week against the Dolphins however still threw just 35 passes. The Dolphins provided up 119 rushing backyards to the Patriots stable of running backs in Week 1 as well as 93 backyards to the Bills RB duo last week. Shenault matched his three catches on 4 targets from Week 1 in Week 2, however he likewise included a few more carries while racking up 72 total yards.
Player props.
Ryan Fitzpatrick.
O/U 22.5 completionsO/U 37.5 attempts O/U 269.5 passing yardsO/U 1.5 passing TDs (Over -125) O/U 13.5 hurrying lawns.
Fitzpatrick ought to have an excellent chance at topping these totals, especially the yardage total, but itll boil down to just how much Miami runs the ball. Ryan Tannehill shredded the Jaguars pass defense recently however handled just 239 yards due to the fact that he had simply 24 passing efforts while Derrick Henry ran the ball 25 times. It appears not likely well see a comparable split with the Dolphins and their backfield, so Over 269.5 passing backyards appears quite safe..
Gardner Minshew.
O/U 22.5 completionsO/U 35.5 attemptsO/U 269.5 passing yardsO/U 1.5 passing TDs (Over -150) O/U 17.5 rushing backyards.
This line resumed on Sunday at Jaguars -2.5 however quickly moved to Jaguars -3. Thats where its stayed ever given that, but with the Dolphins -120 on their line of +3, it appears if anything this one might teeter back better to absolutely no before kickoff.
The Dolphins will be looking to buck a few patterns in this matchup. Per CBS Sports research, road groups are just 23-38-2 ATS (38%) on Thursday over the last 5 seasons, though if you just look considering that the start of 2019, its about a 50-50 proposition. Much even worse for Miami: the Dolphins are 5-14-1 ATS in primetime video games given that 2010, while Ryan Fitzpatrick is 4-10 ATS in primetime as a starter in his career.
Choose: Jaguars -3. I dont enjoy taking it at -3, however this needs to be the side for me. Minshew and James Robinson have the Jacksonville offense shooting on all cylinders, and the Jacksonville quarterback shined in his only primetime appearance last year, beating the Titans by 13 in spite of getting in the game as a short underdog. Miami also has actually permitted the highest passer rating in the league through 2 weeks while dealing with Cam Newton and Josh Allen.
Moneyline? Youll have to pay -160 if you desire to play it safe and simply take Jacksonville on the moneyline. If you desire to run the risk of a little and parlay the spread pick with our total pick, that must net you a little over +200 if it cashes.
Over/Under 48 points.
The overall has actually seen a huge move towards the Over over the last couple of days after examining in at 45 on Sunday night. Well see if theres a ceiling for how high this total can climb.
Select: Over 48. Its difficult actually taking this Over at 48 if you didnt get it earlier before the relocation, due to the fact that it just makes it even more harder for it to strike when the books at first expected three less points in this matchup. But I cant play the Under here with Jacksonvilles offense putting up big numbers through two weeks and both defenses in this video game having trouble getting stops. While primetime video games were a reputable Under play in 2015, the last 4 Thursday night matchups have discussed the total by a wide margin (13 points per video game).
How to see
Date: Thursday, Sept. 24|Time: 8:20 p.m. ETLocation: TIAA Bank Field (Jacksonville, Florida) TV: NFL Network|Stream: fuboTV ( try for free) Follow: CBS Sports App.
Laviska Shenault to score TD +250, to score very first TD +1400.
Shenault matched his 3 catches on 4 targets from Week 1 in Week 2, but he also added a few more brings while racking up 72 total yards. With Charks health in question, theres a great chance Shenault is an even larger part of the gameplan today, which might indicate reaching completion zone for the 2nd time this year. And I wont dismiss it being on the first touchdown scored in the entire game. You can take Shenault and James Robinson to both rating TDs at +600 if you want something in the medium variety payment between these 2.
Recentlys Bengals-Browns shootout included a heap of scoring and a lot of winners in our weekly Thursday Night Football wagering sneak peek. Today, the Dolphins head up to Jacksonville to deal with a Jaguars group with a quarterback in Gardner Minshew who is playing as well as nearly anyone right now. These may not be two Super Bowl contenders, however its still pro football on a Thursday night, and theres still a lot of value to be had on the board.
Were going to get you prepared for the matchup on the betting side of things in this area, including what you require to learn about each aspect of the video game from a betting perspective. All odds through William Hill Sportsbook.
What choices can you make with confidence in Week 3? And which Super Bowl contender goes down hard? See SportsLine to see which NFL groups are winning more than 50 percent of simulations, all from the model that is up over $7,300 on its top-rated choices.
These lines seem destined to go over versus a Miami defense that has enabled the highest passer rating in the league through 2 weeks. Its worth noting that even though the Jaguars pulled off a substantial upset of the Colts in Week 1 and Minshew tossed simply one incompletion, he only had 173 passing lawns. Plus D.J. Charks status for this game is unidentified, which might limit Minshews ceiling a little. I d state the smartest play here is to take the Under on attempts and expect the Jaguars to run the ball more in a game they go into as the favorites; after all, Josh Allen racked up 417 passing yards last week against the Dolphins however still tossed just 35 passes. SportsLine also thinks about the Over on Minshews rushing yards a value play.
More props to think about.
James Robinson Over 69.5 hurrying backyards.
The Dolphins offered up 119 rushing lawns to the Patriots stable of running backs in Week 1 as well as 93 backyards to the Bills RB duo last week. While Laviska Shenault might siphon off a couple of carries after carrying the ball five times last week, he could also be leaned on more as a receiver due to Charks health.
Preston Williams Over 3.5 receptions, Over 46.5 receiving backyards.
This ought to be a shootout if you can think the motion on the overall, and Williams must have his opportunities to go over here, with the backyards being a much better prop than the reception overall. SportsLine loves Mike Gesicki in this matchup as well, with the tight end forecasted to go Over his overall of 45.5 receiving backyards.
