Essentially, the Jets are going to have fewer practices this week, which must theoretically make them better since this is apparently the one team in the NFL that gets even worse each time they practice..
The crazy thing here is that I think I have actually in some way talked myself into selecting the Jets. The game remains in New York/Jersey, its in prime time and I feel like Gase will be training for his task, which Im not even persuaded he desires to keep, but Im picking the Jets anyway..
The pick: Jets 19-16 over Broncos.
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Not only are the Falcons going down, however theyre taking me with them. Im 0-3 choosing their games this season and undoubtedly, the only method to rectify that is to never select them again..
Am I actually going to never ever choose the Falcons once again? Lets get to the choices and discover..
Actually, before we get to the choices, heres a quick tip that you can check out the weekly choices from every CBSSports.com NFL professional by clicking here, but you were probably currently well conscious of that considering that I mention it each week. You should click over just to see if any of my co-workers are selecting the Falcons this week and after that if they are, we can make fun of them together..
If they dont wish to utilize that photo, they could likewise change their picture to this photo of their old stadium imploding, which would likewise be fitting due to the fact that imploding is what the Falcons do every game..
The bright side for Watson today is that he may actually endure this video game and thats because the Texans are playing a team that isnt actually developed to benefit from Houstons weaknesses. Through 3 weeks, the Vikings have the second-fewest sacks in the NFL (3) and theyve quit the third-most pass lawns (292.3 per video game). Watson is probably going to weep tears of delight when he enjoys the Vikings defense on movie..
Alright, if I have not persuaded you to listen to the podcast by now, its probably because you either hate me or podcasts or both, so lets get to the Week 4 choices..
NFL Week 4 Picks.
If Ive learned something because including a child to the family this year, its that sometimes life tosses a diaper in your face, and when that occurs, you need to do your finest to make diaper lemonade out of it. At least, I believe thats how the stating goes..
Anyhow, the NFL is generally offering us the equivalent of a dirty diaper today with TWO GAMES that will feature winless groups playing against each other. Sure, I would rather change a diaper than watch either of these games, but I made a vow in March that if the NFL had a season this year I would see EVERY SINGLE GAME and not complain. Not only am I not going to complain, but Im also going to offer these 2 video games their own section..
Do they deserve it? No..
Will I whiff on both picks? Most likely..
I hate winless groups, but here we go anyway..
Week 4 choices where winless groups face each other.
Denver (0-3) at N.Y. Jets (0-3).
Thursday, 8:20 p.m. ET Point spread: Broncos, -2.5.
If Ive noticed one thing about the Jets this season, its that they basically reveal up every Sunday with no game plan and then make it up as they go along. Not only have they scored the least points in the NFL this season, but theyve likewise given up the second-most points in the AFC.
The thing about Thursday video games though is that theres not truly enough time to carry out a detailed video game plan, and astonishingly, that really might work out in the Jets favor. Rather of coming up with a game strategy thats not going to work, Adam Gase is just going to have to throw something together and based on what Ive seen so far this year from the Jets, providing Gase less time to strategy may really be in their best interest.
That is the appearance of a male who didnt consume or sleep for 17 straight hours so he might create a strategy that would absolutely shut the Raiders down whichs exactly what his team did. Keep in mind to everyone: If Belichick ever appears like that at an interview ever once again, bet everything you have on the Patriots..
Worst pick: Last week, I spent two paragraphs speaking about how you need to never choose the Falcons to win due to the fact that its like selecting Charlie Brown to lastly kick the football, but then I picked them anyhow. Well, the joke was certainly on me, due to the fact that guess what occurred: The team that constantly collapses in the 2nd half collapsed in the second half. I have nobody to blame however myself..
This guy has actually done all of us a favor and asked the Falcons to alter their Twitter profile image to Charlie Brown..
The choice: Titans 27-24 over Steelers.
Update: This pick may need to be put on hold due to the fact that the Titans are supposedly handling a COVID break out that might put this video game in jeopardy..
Buffalo (3-0) at Las Vegas (2-1).
4:05 p.m. ET (CBS) Point spread: Bills, -3.
Im actually horrified that these two groups are playing today whichs because they have the 2 most vocal fan bases on the internet. When you pick versus either one of these teams, the fan base will absolutely let you know, and I found that out the fun method recently when I said that the Raiders would get destroyed by the Patriots in my “Lock of the Week.”.
Raiders fans plainly dislike when you pick their group to lose, since after making that forecast, they hunted down every social media page Ive ever made in my life– I believe they even discovered my MySpace page– to let me understand how wrong I was going to be. Some guy called “Raider Joey” even composed me a 1,500 word e-mail describing to me why I was incorrect and why the Raiders were going to win. Seriously, Im just kidding Raiders fans, I dont in fact believe that about you, dont send me any death risks.
And in case its unclear, Im never ever choosing the Falcons again and I ACTUALLY MEAN IT THIS TIME..
Picks Record.
Straight up in Week 3: 10-5-1SU overall: 32-15-1.
Against the spread in Week 3: 7-9ATS overall: 24-23-1.
The something about the actual game here is that the Raiders offense has actually been way better than I thought it was going to be and the Bills defense has actually been a lot worse. What this suggests is that, for the 2nd week in a row, I believe were visiting the Bills associated with a shootout..
The something I like about the Raiders is that they now play in Las Vegas, which Ive decided is the biggest home-field benefit in the NFL this year. It likewise may be the only home-field advantage in the NFL this year..
I indicate, did you see the Saints play there back in Week 2? The entire group appeared like they had actually participated in a three-night bender at Caesars Palace. If you put a bunch of young, rich guys in Vegas, theres a 1000% chance they will go out in the evening even if theyre informed not to head out in the evening. Due to the fact that of this, I will be selecting the Raiders to win every video game they dip into home, till they lose a game at home, at which point, I most likely wont select them to win once again for the remainder of the season..
Also, when it concerns pulling off mysterious upsets in your home, theres no one much better than the Raiders. Since employing Jon Gruden in 2018, the Raiders have won SIX home video games as an underdog, which must frighten the Bills because the Raiders will be the underdog on Sunday..
The pick: Raiders 33-30 over Bills.
Lock of the Week.
Cleveland (2-1) at Dallas (1-2).
1 p.m. ET (Fox) Point spread: Cowboys, -4.5.
In Week 1, they get destroyed by one of the best teams in football, however then they followed that up with successive wins over the Bengals and Washington. If you enjoyed the 2020 NFL Draft that was held in Roger Goodells basement back in April, you might have observed that the Bengals and Washington had the first 2 picks.
The truth that the Browns have won 2 video games in a row in fact somewhat terrifies me. The thing about the Browns is that you have a better opportunity of winning the lottery game 12 times in a row than Cleveland does of winning 3 straight video games.
My fracture research study group has encouraged me that the Browns have in reality won 3 straight games before, and they did it last year. The last time they had a three-game win streak where at least one of the wins came on the road was in 2012. In their previous 30 road video games, theyre 4-26.
On the Cowboys end, keep in mind that three-year period where Andy Daltons nickname was “Daytime Dalton” due to the fact that he nearly never ever lost in any video game that started at 1 p.m. ET? Well, his magic needs to have rubbed off on Dak Prescott, due to the fact that Daytime Dak is a thing. Because his novice year, “Daytime Dak” has played an overall of 16 games at 1 p.m. ET and hes 13-3. Im not choosing against Daytime Dak, specifically not when his backup quarterback is Daytime Dalton..
The choice: Cowboys 34-24 over Browns.
Reward lock of the week.
Baltimore (2-1) at Washington (1-2).
1 p.m. ET (CBS) Point spread: Ravens, -13.5.
The lock of the week is off to such a hot start this season that Ive chosen to get greedy today and provide you two locks. In fact, I was only going to do one lock this week, but then the Ravens lost on Monday and I chose to include them since theres no other way Baltimore isnt going to roll in this game..
Washington is banged up on defense and if theres one video game where you cant pay for to be banged up on defense, its when you play the Ravens. Simply go hunt down some highlights from Washingtons Week 2 loss to the Cardinals if you want a taste of what Lamar Jackson is going to do to this defense. Because 30-15 win for Arizona, Washington had no concept how to stop Kyler Murray. Lamar Jackson is like Kyler Murray, except much better and with more experience. Those are both bad things for Washington..
The choice: Ravens 33-17 over WashingtonLock of the week record: 4-0 straight-up, 4-0 against the spread.
NFL Week 4 choices: All the rest.
Colts 23-20 over BearsBengals 26-23 over JaguarsSaints 30-27 over LionsSeahawks 31-24 over DolphinsBuccaneers 34-20 over ChargersRams 30-16 over GiantsCardinals 27-20 over PanthersChiefs 31-23 over Patriots49ers 20-17 over EaglesPackers 37-30 over Falcons.
Recently.
Finest choice: Last week, I forecasted that the Patriots would squash the Raiders and let me simply say that this one was never in doubt. I understood there was no chance I was losing the choice after Bill Belichick revealed up at his very first press conference of the week in a sleeveless t-shirt.
You can discover John Breech on Facebook or Twitter and if hes not doing one of those things, hes most likely changing a diaper.
Something about Houston is that Im pretty sure any group in the NFL would be winless with their schedule. The Texans 0-3 record has come versus 3 teams who are presently a combined 8-1 (Chiefs, Ravens, Steelers), so they might in fact be much better than we believe..
No matter what takes place in this game, which is being played in between two teams that made the playoffs in 2015, I believe we can go on and safely presume that the loser definitely wont be going back to the playoffs. Sorry Vikings, but my guess here is that youre going to be the team that wont be returning to the postseason..
The choice: Texans 34-27 over Vikings.
Week 4 picks including teams that actually have wins.
Pittsburgh (3-0) at Tennessee (3-0).
1 p.m. ET (CBS) Point spread: Steelers, -1.
There are seven undefeated groups left in the NFL and somehow, this is the only game on the schedule this week that involves two unbeaten groups playing each other. If you would have asked me in August which Week 4 game Im most excited about, this one would not have actually even ranked in the leading 5, but now, its the only one I want to watch, and Im not simply stating that because its on CBS, although I very do much like the reality that its on CBS..
One other thing that I point out every week is that you can now hear my dreamy voice on the Pick Six Podcast, which is our day-to-day NFL podcast here at CBSSports.com. For the remainder of the 2020 season, Ill be signing up with host Will Brinson three days each week (Monday, Tuesday and Friday). Although Im only on three days weekly, theres a brand-new episode each and every single day from Monday thru Friday and you must attempt to listen as often as possible (You can listen to Tuesdays episode below and ensure to click on this link to check it out and subscribe). On Tuesdays episode, we invested way more time than we probably need to have trying to figure out who the 2nd finest team in the NFL is behind the Chiefs (Spoiler alert: Its not the Falcons)..
As someone who never ever uses socks, I appreciate that..
If youre questioning why I simply spent 250 words discussing a kicker while not discussing anything else about this video game, its because I believe the Titans are going to win by a field objective. I never get to talk about kickers, so I have to take the chance whenever I can..
Minnesota (0-3) at Houston (0-3).
1 p.m. ET (Fox) Point spread: Texans, -4.
I dont know if Deshaun Watsons brand-new agreement includes danger pay, however if it does not, he might wish to go back to the settlement table. Sure, $150 million is nice, however its not going to help you quite when you have to spend it all on painkillers during retirement due to the fact that you got sacked 41 times per video game during your NFL profession..
Because– and stop me if youve heard this in the past– their offending line cant protect Watson, a huge factor the Texans are 0-3 is. Through four weeks, the Texans quarterback has actually already been sacked an overall of 13 times, which is the second-most in the NFL. As a matter of fact, the Texans offending line has been so bad this season that Houston fans really seem like theyre scared for his life..
As somebody who resides in Nashville, Im one of the 11 people alive who viewed every video game that the Titans played last season and let me simply say, this team was one good kicker away from being among the best groups in the NFL. They ended up the year 9-7, they probably would have gone 12-4 if they had a qualified kicker..
Fortunately for Tennessee is that they do have one this year and we understand that, due to the fact that if they didnt, they would be 0-3. Stephen Gostkowski started his career off in Tennessee this year by having a Britney Spears circa 2007 style crisis on national tv, he recovered to strike three straight game-winners over the past three weeks. Obviously, Gostkowski fixed all of his problems by getting rid of the sock on his kicking foot..
Thats right, Im starting this weeks picks by grumbling about the Falcons. One other thing that I point out every week is that you can now hear my dreamy voice on the Pick Six Podcast, which is our everyday NFL podcast here at CBSSports.com. Anyhow, the NFL is essentially offering us the equivalent of an unclean diaper this week with TWO GAMES that will feature winless groups playing versus each other. The great news for Watson this week is that he may really survive this game and thats due to the fact that the Texans are playing a group that isnt truly built to take benefit of Houstons weak points. Worst pick: Last week, I spent two paragraphs talking about how you ought to never ever choose the Falcons to win since its like picking Charlie Brown to lastly kick the football, however then I selected them anyhow.
I never ever believed we would reside in a world where the Cleveland Browns have a winning record after 3 weeks of an NFL season, but gentlemen and women, here we are. Its a world I dont comprehend, similar to the Falcons dont seem to understand how to play football once they have a lead..
Thats right, Im starting todays choices by grumbling about the Falcons. At this point, any wise coach playing Atlanta will let them get the lead and after that simply relax and wait on them to completely implode. There is no risk with this technique..
If the Falcons were a human, they would be somebody who goes to Las Vegas, gets up $25,000 and then somehow winds up going home $400,000 in the hole. If youre ever being chased after by a bear, the Falcons are the buddy you wish to have around, due to the fact that they will definitely be consumed initially. Speaking of being eaten by a bear, that would likely be less agonizing than being a Falcons fan..
The Falcons have now blown 2 4th quarter leads of 15 points or more in consecutive weeks, which is something no other team has done OVER THE COURSE OF AN ENTIRE SEASON, not to mention two successive weeks..
