I give Texas A&M a mulligan for its 17-12 opening win over Vanderbilt. Almost everyones very first video games have actually had some issues in 2020, and the Aggies outgained Vandy by about 3 yards a play anyway. The margin mightve been bigger, however they lost three fumbles, 2 of them in Commodore territory. Recentlys video game versus the Crimson Tide is more useful.
To a specific extent, Alabama-Texas A&M was similar to Florida-South Carolina. The winning team had a play count in the low 50s and a time of belongings in the low 20s. The losing group had a play count in the 70s and a time of ownership north of 35 minutes. Both wins mightve been bigger if not for the losing group having the ball for practically a whole quarter.
Its in the world of possibility if the Gators play well and the Aggies play badly, however its not the most likely result. And getting one might end up looking a bit like last week, if not always in the exact same magnitude.
The Aggies got a touchdown one play after an interception and required a three-and-out to start the second quarter, but it was disaster from there. The offense went three-and-out itself, after which Bama ran up 21 unanswered (consisting of a pick-six) to close out the first half. The Aggies had possession for nearly 12 of the 15 minutes of the 3rd quarter, not unlike how South Carolina sat on the ball for practically their entire 4th versus Florida. But while the Gators tossed a pick therein to shorten a drive, Bama got a big play touchdown.
The victors also had success rates around ten percentage points higher than the losers, and they were nearly comically more explosive through the air. The losing teams each had two standout offensive players who had great games but couldnt do it all on their own.
Winning up front
The Tide had the ability to get some complimentary rushes off the edge, specifically in the 2nd half. In some cases it was just a case of overwhelming the blockers, and at least as soon as it was a case of a pulling guard not getting there in time. There could be possibilities for factors Ill get into later if Todd Grantham desires to get in touch with his pre-2019 self and get imaginative with blitzes.
As long as the offending line can provide him time, those will be there. If the Gators can run at all, play action will be additional dangerous as those securities stare into the backfield and lose track of receivers.
Floridas offensive line has actually looked better this year, but it will require to keep advancing. Kyle Trask has actually taken at least one sack in both video games so far, and, while Dameon Pierce has actually run for practically six backyards per bring, hes needing to reroute and run through tackles a dreadful lot.
A&M will be happy to go on 10+ play, 5+ minute drives if UF will let them. Better play up front will go a long way with that.
Huge play capability.
Itll be a repeat of last week when the winning team runs less plays and has less time of possession if UF gets the big plays it is capable of.
That stated, the Aggie secondary is vulnerable. The security play in particular stood apart as spotty, and on top of the three long touchdowns, the defensive backs got a set of pass disturbance flags.
Alabama had touchdown passes of 78, 87, and 63 lawns. I do not believe Florida will reproduce that kind of thing. Its not likely to occur no matter teams getting involved in a video game.
Texas A&M has the best lines that Florida has actually seen to this point. Its offending line was able to move the line of scrimmage against Bamas front on occasion, and Kellen Mond took no sacks. He needed to rush on celebration, however he has that capability
The protective line didnt get to Mac Jones a lot– his only sack came by a protective back after a planned rollout– but it included the run well. Najee Harris got practically all of the brings in the very first 3 quarters, and he went for simply 3.6 backyards per carry. He still had a 50% success rate because he never ran the ball with more than 6 lawns to go, however that was his most affordable lawns per bring rate considering that taking control of as the primary back in 2015.
Keeping it brief
The Aggie death game with Mond has for a while been a lot about brief routes. After Jhamon Ausbon decided out, A&M no longer had actually anybody shown at receiver.
Its in the realm of possibility if the Gators play well and the Aggies play improperly, but its not the most likely outcome. If Todd Grantham desires to get in touch with his pre-2019 self and get imaginative with blitzes, there might be opportunities for factors Ill get into later on.
The 2 best targets versus the Tide were RB Ainias Smith and TE Jalen Wydermyer. Smith is small but quick, so monitoring him is a must. He had a couple of catches on wheel paths where Alabama just didnt cover him for some factor, and on the video game he had 6 grabs on 10 targets for 123 backyards.
Grantham will be able to get away with blitzing if he wants to since the receivers arent special and the death game is a lot of short stuff. He should be able to trust Kaiir Elam, Marco Wilson, Jaydon Hill, and Chester Kimbrough in one-on-one protection. I hope Florida has actually spent the week studying how Alabama got those totally free edge rushes. There isnt as huge a disadvantage to the blitz not getting home this week.
The Aggies got a touchdown one play after an interception and required a three-and-out to start the second quarter, but it was catastrophe from there. While the Gators tossed a pick in there to reduce a drive, Bama got a huge play goal.
Wydermyer is excellent at utilizing his body to box out protectors. Hes not as explosive as Pitts is, but hell stress Floridas linebackers in protection. Jimbo Fisher has actually always liked to use tight ends in the death game, and Wydermyer will be a thorn in the Gators side all game.
Florida can register a statement win on the road if the offense hits on big plays and the defense gets aggressive. It could be a long afternoon if its lines do not perform well. The opportunity is there for a win like recentlys, only against a much better group. Taking the effort will assist the Gators take the video game and the win.
If the offense strikes on huge plays and the defense gets aggressive, Florida can register a statement win on the road.
